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Parliament. As we discovered this summer, only a quarter of current MPs supported Leave (140 out of 330 Conservatives plus 10 Labour, eight DUP and one Ukip). Sign our petition here. While colleagues focus on Milan and Venice, he has tried to broaden his partys appeal. Theresa May says she has an open mind over Brexit negotiations So I doubt that there would have been a majority for independence, either in 2011 or in 2016.
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Given that the 2015 was so close, Cameron would probably have fallen short of a majority. Theres a tantalising pause, then Farage gets back to fixing the speedo, muttering gruffly: Maybe you didnt hear I dont fight no referendums no more. Ironically, success for the Northern League might cause problems for its national leader, Matteo Salvini. Citizens of two northern parts of Italy, Lombardy and Veneto, will vote on October 22nd about increasing the level of local autonomy they enjoy. This dominance partly explains why the referendums are going ahead. Case closed, I think. Quite rightly, this self-interested manoeuvring will be beyond many ordinary Brexiters, to whom Nigel had until now remained an unimpeachable hero. Would Cameron have matched Gordon Browns offer to Nick Clegg of the Alternative Vote without a referendum? It will be zero coincidence that in the very week Bannon flames out, Farage suddenly pops back up over here, making the most naked of headline grabs. Well, this is where we are 18 months.